This Thursday 14 Mar at 12:30 PM GMT the latest US Continuing Jobless Claims number will be released.
If the number is less than than economists’ consensus there is a 83.33% probability that USDCAD will trend up following the news event.

This probability is based on the last 12 US Continuing Jobless Claims events, in which 5 of the last 6 events where the actual number was less than than the economist consensus resulted in an up trend of USDCAD.

Here are images of the past events:

Thursday 07 Mar at 01:30 PM GMT:

Thursday 21 Feb at 01:30 PM GMT:

Thursday 14 Feb at 01:30 PM GMT:

Thursday 07 Feb at 01:30 PM GMT:

Thursday 31 Jan at 01:30 PM GMT:

Disclaimer: Past performance may not be indicative of future performance