This Monday 16 Apr at 12:30 PM GMT the latest US Retail Sales MoM number will be released.
If the number is less than than economists’ consensus there is a 75% probability that GBPUSD will trend up following the news event.

This probability is based on the last 12 US Retail Sales MoM events, in which 6 of the last 8 events where the actual number was less than than the economist consensus resulted in an up trend of GBPUSD.

Here are images of the past events:

Wednesday 14 Feb at 01:30 PM GMT:

Friday 13 Oct at 12:30 PM GMT:
- homeubuntudelkosimages900752 201710131230 24 1 - DELKOS 75% probability that GBPUSD will trend up on Monday 16 Apr at 12:30 PM GMT if the US Retail Sales MoM number is less than 0.4%.
Friday 14 Jul at 12:30 PM GMT:
- homeubuntudelkosimages900752 201707141230 24 1 - DELKOS 75% probability that GBPUSD will trend up on Monday 16 Apr at 12:30 PM GMT if the US Retail Sales MoM number is less than 0.4%.
Wednesday 14 Jun at 12:30 PM GMT:
- homeubuntudelkosimages900752 201706141230 24 1 - DELKOS 75% probability that GBPUSD will trend up on Monday 16 Apr at 12:30 PM GMT if the US Retail Sales MoM number is less than 0.4%.
Friday 12 May at 12:30 PM GMT:
- homeubuntudelkosimages900752 201705121230 24 1 - DELKOS 75% probability that GBPUSD will trend up on Monday 16 Apr at 12:30 PM GMT if the US Retail Sales MoM number is less than 0.4%.
Friday 14 Apr at 12:30 PM GMT:
- homeubuntudelkosimages900752 201704141230 24 1 - DELKOS 75% probability that GBPUSD will trend up on Monday 16 Apr at 12:30 PM GMT if the US Retail Sales MoM number is less than 0.4%.

Disclaimer: Past performance may not be indicative of future performance