This Thursday 15 Feb at 01:30 PM GMT the latest US Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index number will be released.
If the number is greater than than economists’ consensus there is a 75% probability that EURUSD will trend up following the news event.

This probability is based on the last 12 US Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index events, in which 6 of the last 8 events where the actual number was greater than than the economist consensus resulted in an up trend of EURUSD.

Here are images of the past events:

Thursday 21 Dec at 01:30 PM GMT:

Thursday 19 Oct at 12:30 PM GMT:

Thursday 21 Sep at 12:30 PM GMT:

Thursday 17 Aug at 12:30 PM GMT:

Thursday 16 Mar at 12:30 PM GMT:

Thursday 16 Feb at 01:30 PM GMT:

Disclaimer: Past performance may not be indicative of future performance